38 6 1 Rank in State, Class, District |
985 15 Strength Momentum |
918 51.7(33) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/22/15 | Mayfield | 0.002 | 1051 | L 2- 3 | Expected (-1) | 959 | 44% | |
08/24/15 | at Santa Fe | 0.003 | 1162 | L 2- 3 | Expected (+1) | 1033 | 27% | |
08/26/15 | Capital | 0.003 | 1241 | L 1- 5 | Expected (-2) | 902 | 22% | |
08/28/15 | at Bosque | 0.006 | 1317 | T 0- 0 | Better (+3) | 1161 | 14% | |
08/28/15 | at Farmington | 0.006 | 1173 | T 1- 1 | Better (+2) | 1089 | 25% | |
08/29/15 | at Piedra Vista | 0.002 | 799 | W 8- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1259 | 71% | |
09/02/15 | at Hope Christian ? | 0.014 | 1009 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 957 | 44% | |
09/05/15 | at East Mountain ?? | 0.023 | 701 | L 3- 4 | Worse (-4) | 803 | 80% | |
09/08/15 | at Taos | 0.030 | 1288 | L 2- 5 | Expected (0) | 996 | 16% | |
09/16/15 | Bernalillo ! | 0.073 | 898 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1133 | 65% | |
09/19/15 | Portales | 0.136 | 819 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 993 | 73% | |
09/22/15 | at Pojoaque | 0.124 | 794 | W 4- 0 | Expected (+2) | 1101 | 72% | |
09/24/15 | Desert Academy | 0.078 | 627 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+3) | 1153 | 88% | |
09/26/15 | Monte del Sol !! | 0.207 | 918 | W 5- 1 | Expected (+3) | 1143 | 62% | |
09/29/15 | at Bosque | 0.312 | 1317 | L 0- 3 | Expected (0) | 1010 | 14% | |
10/01/15 | at St. Michael's | 0.379 | 870 | W 2- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1038 | 64% | |
10/03/15 | at Monte del Sol | 0.478 | 918 | W 1- 0 | Expected (+1) | 1011 | 57% | |
10/13/15 | St. Michael's | 0.818 | 870 | W 1- 0 | Expected (0) | 968 | 68% | |
10/19/15 | at Desert Academy | 0.724 | 627 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 966 | 85% | |
10/22/15 | at Sandia Prep | 0.983 | 1057 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 981 | 37% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Santa Fe Prep actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 918, while
Santa Fe Prep's "weighted playing strength" is 1003
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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